Authored By: Sarah
23 Jan 2025

Mexico Oil and Gas Market Outlook 2024-2028: Key Trends, Drivers, and Key Players

The oil and gas market in Mexico is poised for significant growth in the coming years. The market size is forecast to increase by USD 35.58 billion, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.46% from 2023 to 2028. This growth is driven by technological advancements in drilling, investments in modernizing refineries, and the ongoing privatization of the country's oil and gas industry. As one of the leading global oil producers, Mexico’s oil and gas industry continues to evolve, offering ample opportunities for both domestic and international players.

Oil and Gas Market in Mexico 2024-2028

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Market Overview: Upstream Leads the Growth

In the forecast period, the upstream segment is expected to be the fastest-growing segment of the Mexico oil and gas market. The upstream sector, valued at USD 111.56 billion in 2018, includes the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. With increasing demand for energy, the need for enhanced exploration technologies and more efficient production methods is expected to escalate.

Advancements in Drilling Technology

A key trend that is shaping the market is the rapid development of drilling technology. Advanced methods, including horizontal and extended-reach drilling, have expanded the ability to access hydrocarbon reserves, particularly in unconventional resources like shale and tight formations. Furthermore, deepwater and ultra-deepwater drilling techniques require specialized rigs, subsea equipment, and wellhead systems, driving the demand for upstream equipment. Additionally, environmentally friendly drilling technologies, such as closed-loop systems and reduced-emissions equipment, are gaining traction, aligning with sustainability goals and regulatory standards.

Segment Analysis: Key Growth Drivers and Challenges

The market dynamics in Mexico’s oil and gas industry are influenced by several factors, including resource availability and the ongoing energy transition.

Key Drivers

Mexico is one of the largest oil producers globally, with proven oil reserves amounting to around 6.0 billion barrels as of January 2023. This includes not just crude oil but also lease condensate, natural gas liquids, and oil sands. The country’s rich geologic formations, including conventional and unconventional resources like shale gas and deepwater reserves, are a key driver of market growth.

Energy sector reforms in Mexico have also opened the door to private investments, particularly in the exploration and production phases. These reforms have encouraged both domestic and international companies to engage in the development of onshore and offshore reserves, spurring growth across the value chain.

Challenges

Despite the promising outlook, the Mexico oil and gas market faces challenges, particularly the growing shift towards cleaner energy. The country is increasingly turning to renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind, in line with global sustainability trends. This shift has the potential to reduce demand for fossil fuels, which could lead to decreased exploration and production activities.

Moreover, the transition to cleaner energy requires significant investment in new infrastructure, which could divert focus and resources from traditional oil and gas operations. The uncertainty surrounding the future of fossil fuels could also dampen investor confidence, especially when considering the long-term viability of some oil and gas projects.

Market Trends

Several key trends are shaping the Mexico oil and gas market, driving both growth and transformation across the industry:

Advancements in Drilling Technology

The emergence of more advanced drilling technologies is one of the primary trends driving market growth in Mexico. Horizontal drilling and extended-reach drilling techniques are enabling oil and gas companies to access harder-to-reach hydrocarbon reserves, such as shale and tight oil formations. This technological progress is further boosting exploration and production activities, especially in deepwater and ultra-deepwater fields. The need for specialized drilling rigs, subsea equipment, and wellhead systems is pushing demand for upstream equipment and services.

Additionally, eco-friendly drilling technologies, such as closed-loop systems and reduced-emission equipment, are gaining traction in Mexico. These technologies align with stricter environmental regulations and sustainability goals, offering a potential competitive advantage for companies operating in Mexico's oil and gas market. Advanced drilling mud systems and high-performance additives are also improving the efficiency and safety of drilling operations.

Government Reforms and Private Investment

Energy sector reforms introduced in Mexico have played a crucial role in the market's transformation. The government has made strides to open the energy sector to private investments, reducing the monopoly previously held by the state-owned PEMEX. This shift has spurred the development of both offshore and onshore reserves, leading to increased exploration and production activities. As foreign companies gain access to previously underdeveloped oil fields, the overall competitiveness of Mexico's oil and gas industry has risen.

Increased Power Demand Driving Exploration

Urbanization and industrial development in Mexico have been key contributors to the growing demand for electricity. As the country continues to urbanize, power demand is increasing in both residential and commercial sectors. This rise in power demand has fueled exploration activities, particularly in regions with substantial energy reserves. Mexico’s increase in energy consumption, including a 2.5% rise in total energy consumption in 2022, has accelerated exploration efforts, benefitting the upstream sector.

Focus on Sustainability and Clean Energy

Mexico is facing the global shift toward cleaner energy sources. The growing interest in solar, wind, and other renewable energy alternatives presents a challenge to traditional oil and gas operations. However, the demand for oil and natural gas continues in many sectors, especially for industrial use and power generation. Companies in Mexico are increasingly focused on developing and implementing technologies that reduce the environmental footprint of their operations, such as carbon capture and storage, renewable energy integration, and efficient energy management solutions.

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Customer Landscape: Strategic Approaches and Adoption Lifecycle

The market in Mexico is experiencing a dynamic shift in its customer landscape. Companies across various regions and segments are employing strategies such as partnerships, mergers and acquisitions, and geographical expansion to solidify their positions. The adoption lifecycle in the market varies, with some companies focusing on innovative technologies and others prioritizing cost-efficient and sustainable operations.

Key Market Players

 Some of the key companies of the Oil and Gas Market in Mexico are as follows:

  • BP Plc
  • Chevron Corp.
  • Citla Energy
  • Exxon Mobil Corp.
  • Grupo Petroil
  • Marathon Petroleum Corp.
  • Petroleos Mexicanos
  • Saipem S.p.A.
  • Sempra Energy
  • Shell plc
  • Techint
  • TotalEnergies SE
  • Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.

Market Segmentation

The Mexico oil and gas market is segmented by type, deployment, and application.

  • Type Outlook:

    • Upstream
    • Midstream
    • Downstream
  • Deployment Outlook:

    • Offshore
    • Onshore
  • Application Outlook:

    • Residential
    • Commercial
    • Industrial

Technological advancements, evolving energy policies, and increasing demand for energy in various sectors drive the demand for oil and gas exploration, refining, and distribution in the country.

This comprehensive analysis provides a clear picture of the Mexico oil and gas market, detailing the major trends, growth drivers, challenges, and key players shaping the industry.

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